The importance of sovereign defence capability in an uncertain world

John Howie MBE | 31st March 2026 | Comment
John Howie MBE
John Howie MBE

As uncertainty spreads across the continent, now more than ever the UK should learn the value of sovereign defence capability, says John Howie MBE

Following the end of the Cold War, the UK like so many of our allies, not only accepted what we now refer to as the “peace dividend” but also continued a journey to modernise our defence procurement system. Part of the reform agenda was to move away from the dominance of single-source or non-competed contracts which made up over 70% of all MOD procurement (by volume) in 2009/10 through an increasing focus on the use of competition as the principal method of determining value-for-money. By 2021/22, competition was the basis of awarding over 50% of all MOD contracts placed, a significant increase. With that policy of driving towards competition came a willingness to open up the UK defence market to international competitors without constraint, a policy that has never really been adopted by any of our allies or competitors. Whilst this, in theory, brought the benefits of gaining access to the best available warfighting capability and allowed the UK to benefit from larger non-UK programmes, it came at a price that was unexpected at the time. Over time, a number of critical UK defence capabilities have been delivered by multinational companies who are headquartered outside the UK.  That brings us back to the present, and the changing face of modern warfare, well evidenced in the war in Ukraine. Not only has that conflict changed the way we see warfare thanks to Ukraine’s incredibly effective use of low-cost capabilities for major impact, but it has also posed a major political question in relation to UK defence procurement: Would the foreign Governments where those international businesses are based allow the UK to utilise, deploy or gift those capabilities to Ukraine. Whatever the answer, what became clear is that we sometimes lacked the sovereign ability to act without consultation or approval. In 2025 we saw the publication of the Strategic Defence Review and the Defence Industrial Strategy (as I write this, we are awaiting the publication of final of the suite of documents, the Defence Investment Plan). At the heart of all three are a number of assumptions and objectives which move the UK away from the model that drove that massive upturn in competed MOD contracts. The idea that the UK should ensure greater sovereign control over the defence supply chain has grown in recent years. There is no doubt that having a sovereign supply chain for a key capability means that the UK would have 'freedom of action’ in times of conflict, removing the concern that an ally or supposed ally might either prevent us from selling or deploying a capability which includes their hardware or software. Not only does that ‘freedom of action’ issue impact on operational deployment of some capabilities but also avoids us being lower on the priority list for a non-UK supplier when their own national Government dictate their priorities in times of emergencies. A recent non-defence example of this issue was the challenges seen around access to vaccines and PPE during the COVID pandemic, which shows where that can lead in extremis. However, sovereign supply is not just about ‘freedom of action.' There can be a sizeable impact on economic prosperity. If equipment is purchased, designed and manufactured in the UK, we create or sustain high-value jobs not only in the contracted supplier but also in the Tier 2, 3 and 4 parts of that supply chain which means also supporting the Small and Medium Enterprises that Government seeks to support.  We know from the Economic Impact Assessment reports across the sector, that defence jobs deliver really strong income multipliers, delivering value across communities and generating significant additional economic benefits as suppliers purchase materials and employees use salary payments to cover the cost of living and funding leisure activities. It may appear that I’m arguing here for all defence contracts to go to UK companies, but that doesn’t need to be the case (assuming that we are comfortable with the ‘freedom of action’ point). The issue for me is about where the activity is undertaken and where the Intellectual Property Rights reside. If we can ensure that international companies commit to undertaking critical design, manufacture and integration activities in the UK as part of their contracts then we not only improve the resilience of our defence supply chain at a time when the world feels increasingly uncertain but we also create increased prosperity and, in turn, the taxation which allows the defence budget and the economy as a whole to grow as intended. The Offset policy referenced in the Defence Industrial Strategy should hopefully help ensure that we achieve those goals. However, success will be dependent upon the control mechanisms and remedies that the UK Government puts in place - to ensure compliance - with countries such as Canada and Australia having already demonstrated how that might be achieved. Finally, then, once you take account of those issues in our defence procurement polici...

Subscribe to The Mace

Join the member community shaping British politics and stay ahead of what's really happening in the world of politics and public affairs, with expert analysis, breaking news, and insider insights from Westminster and Brussels. The Mace is the leading news source and resource for the government affairs industry, offering required reading and lobby intelligence for professionals.

To see what you are missing out on by not subscribing to The Mace, click here to download our full membership info-pack. This includes having no paywall on op-ed content or profiles/interviews, allowing professional profiles to be read with maximum impact and visibility by government, special advisers, MPs, peers, civil servants, and policy and political decision-makers.

Dame Antonia’s key civil service reforms are ready to be supported by Whitehall, says Jonathan Freeman

Mace | August 1, 2026

The Civil Service is ready to support Dame Antonia Romeo's flagship changes to government machinery - notably relating to AI and devolution - under new prime minister Andy

Burnham is trying to fix Whitehall, but will the political machinery change?

Mace | July 30, 2026

Andy Burnham is shaking up government with more changes than by any incoming prime minister in memory. But, asks Sir Bernard Jenkin MP, does he understand why the

Experts warn more government support needed to help UK aviation meet net zero by 2050

Mace | July 30, 2026

UK aviation can decarbonise while meeting growth ambitions, but urgent government action is needed to prevent costs increasing for passengers and the sector losing its competitive edge.

Don’t rule out an early election as Burnham may see an opportunity to kick Reform, says Fred de Fossard

Fred de Fossard | July 28, 2026

With the new Prime minister championing policies which go beyond Labour’s very confined 2024 manifesto, an early election is not illogical.

Despite promises of radical change, Labour’s culture of ruling political families remains entrenched

Lucy Carrier-Pilkington | July 28, 2026

Andy Burnham's inner circle appears to perpetuate Labour's long-running culture of nepotism, and is doomed to cause frustration among backbenchers.

Kemi’s true blue purge, with help from Sir Philip May

William Cash | July 26, 2026

The news that former Home Secretary Sir Grant Shapps has failed to make the new Tory candidate list has put fear into dozens of former Conservative MPs. Whether

Why Burnham’s energy VAT cut will make a difference

Mace Magazine | July 25, 2026

Cameron Brown, a former special advisor to the Chancellor of the Exchequer, explains why Burnham's VAT cut on energy bills is a measure people will actually notice.

If Burnham wants growth, he must start by backing AI and Tech founders and risk-takers, says Liam Houghton

Mace | July 23, 2026

New Prime Minister Andy Burnham has an opportunity to make Britain the best place to start and scale a business, argues CEO Liam Houghton.

The continuing political Whydunnit of the murder of Ann Widdecombe

Mace Magazine | July 23, 2026

The strangely guilty way that the media, and some politicians have reacted to Widdecombe’s shocking death shows the double standards that can operate when a politician of the

What James Purnell’s return to No 10, along with the new cabinet, reveals about Burnham’s Labour network

Mark Leftly | July 21, 2026

James Purnell’s return to frontline politics is more than a nostalgic Blair-Brown era reunion. As Andy Burnham builds his Downing Street operation, public affairs professionals will need to