The American President is an apex predator, while his opponent is a pantomime horse, says Conrad Black
Very few foreigners know the United States, though many know some prominent people in New York, Washington and Los Angeles, and imagine that the Americans are cousins of the British and that the US is somewhat like the United Kingdom only larger, richer, less cultured, more materialistic, and more socio-economically fluid and meritocratic. Americans speak English and practice a version of the common law, but barely one fifth of them are descended from the English or Scottish. The US is a proudly revolutionary, relatively libertarian, and very rough, gun-toting society in constant fermentation. The America of Norman Rockwell, Walt Disney, and Grandma Moses exists; almost everything exists in that vast country of a third of a billion people, but it is a public relations snow job. America is a land of intense competition and tremendous achievement in almost every field, but it is also a jungle, and like all jungles it is run by the 30-foot constricting snakes and the 700-pound cats, and this is how President Trump must be seen.
Rise and slump
It isn’t a system attractive to comfortable foreigners, but the United States enjoyed a rise without the remotest precedent in the history of the world, from 3.2 million people including 650,000 slaves – in almost the only country not to be defined by its own language and culture – to overwhelming preeminence among nations, a world-state. All this in just two long lifetimes, from Yorktown in 1783 to the end of the second world war. There have been terrible crises, especially the civil war, in which 750,000 people died in a population of 31 million, suppressing secession and abolishing slavery; and the Great Depression of the early 1930s, in which the entire economic system collapsed. But by an ineluctable and almost incomprehensible process, the Americans elevate the leaders they need when they need them: Washington, Lincoln, Roosevelt, Reagan. Improbably, it is in this context that Trump must be viewed. The 20 years preceding his election were the most incompetent time of presidential leadership in American history: endless, fruitless Middle Eastern war, generating immense humanitarian disaster, the greatest economic crisis in 75 years, steady advances at the expense of America by China in much of the world, stagnant growth in middle- and working-class real disposable incomes, and an increase in welfare roles, poverty, and violent crime and a decline in life expectancy. Further, GDP growth per capita declined from 4.5 per cent under Reagan to 2.1 per cent with Obama (though unemployment dropped from 9.3 per cent to 4.9 per cent during Obama’s presidency). The Americans aren’t world-weary Europeans and they won’t tolerate stagnation.
Enter, apex predator
Donald Trump, an imposing and agile jungle cat, saw the political opportunity, changed parties seven times in 13 years, perfected a method of generating great celebrity and translating it into electability, and became the only person in American history never to have sought or held a public office, elected or unelected, or a military command, to be elected president. This, added to his success as a builder, an occupation in which he became technically insolvent but made an astonishing recovery giving him a fortune of at least $5bn, and a television career in which he conceived an idea of reality entertainment that drew from five to 25 million viewers every week for 14 years, make him the most accomplished person ever inaugurated to his great office except for the chief founders, Washington, Jefferson, and Madison, and those who successfully led great armies in just wars, Grant and Eisenhower. All these men were world-historic figures before they were elected president of the United States. As the American mythos cannot accept a pause in its national progress, by 2016, half the country was disaffected; Donald Trump, the populist billionaire, saw it, and almost no one else did. His achievement was immense. This is the background for the Trump phenomenon.
A system unravels
Because Trump ran against all factions of both parties, against the Bushes as much as the Clintons and Obama, and the entire system including the national political media, he has been more ferociously opposed than any previous president. His enemies in the higher reaches of the previous administration may have committed breaches of the constitution trying to sabotage his election and undo his presidency. The indictments of those responsible have begun. They hurled an impeachment against him, and are now attempting to exploit a potential for national vote-rigging through postal ballots mailed out to everyone on the always partially obsolescent voters’ register. (In the legally loose American system, this is called “vote-harvesting.”) The massive media hostility to Trump, parroted by most of the unperceptive dunces among the resident foreign correspondents, is due mainly to his success at bypassing them by dealing directly with the vast army of his followe...
Subscribe to The Mace
Join the member community shaping British politics and stay ahead of
what's really happening in the world of politics and public affairs,
with expert analysis, breaking news, and insider insights from
Westminster and Brussels. The Mace is the leading news source and
resource for the government affairs industry, offering required
reading and lobby intelligence for professionals.
To see what you are missing out on by not subscribing to The Mace, click here to download our full membership info-pack. This includes
having no paywall on op-ed content or profiles/interviews, allowing
professional profiles to be read with maximum impact and visibility by
government, special advisers, MPs, peers, civil servants, and policy
and political decision-makers.
From self-lacerating memoir to by-election madness and a Labour Together takedown, The Mace’s literary editor Christopher Silvester rounds up the latest political books.
From self-lacerating memoir to by-election madness and a Labour Together takedown, The Mace’s literary editor Christopher Silvester rounds up the latest political books.
From self-lacerating memoir to by-election madness and a Labour Together takedown, The Mace’s literary editor Christopher Silvester rounds up the latest political books
With the party's two-day conference starting in a week, Reform Board member Gawain Towler asks: is British business ready for Reform and will they show up to the
The EU must decide by 5 June whether to extend tariff-free trade with Ukraine. MEPs warn reintroducing duties could undermine support for Kyiv. Internal opposition, especially from farmers,