Diplomacy
OECD Cuts Global Growth Forecast as Trade Tensions Rise
The OECD has lowered its global GDP forecast to 2.9% for both 2025 and 2026, citing U.S. tariffs and weakening investment. Growth estimates for the U.S., UK, and China were revised downward, while inflation remains high. India remains strong, but global trade and fiscal flexibility remain under pressure.
Court blocks Trump tariffs, testing limits of trade authority
A U.S. federal court has struck down President Trump’s global tariffs, ruling they exceed the limits of the International Emergency Economic Powers Act. The administration has appealed, insisting trade talks remain on track. The ruling affects Executive Order 14257 but leaves other trade measures intact, pending further judicial review.
Tariffs Threaten Spanish Hat Exports to US Orthodox Market
Spanish hatmaker Fernández y Roche faces a 10 per cent US import tariff, jeopardising its 40-year trade with Orthodox Jewish communities. With a 50 per cent duty possible by July, Spain has launched a €14.1 billion support plan while EU–US trade talks continue.
High Court Halts UK-Mauritius Deal Over Chagos Islands Amid Legal Challenge
A High Court injunction has blocked the UK from finalising a sovereignty deal to transfer the Chagos Islands to Mauritius. The legal challenge, filed by a Chagossian-born British citizen, raises concerns over lack of consultation. The planned deal would retain the UK-US base on Diego Garcia for 99 years.
All the Ambassador’s Men
Trump’s Catholic allies are exerting growing influence in Rome as a new conclave approaches. Backed by wealthy donors and political operatives, they are campaigning for a more traditional pope. Central figures include Brian Burch and Steve Cortes, who see Trump’s return as key to reshaping US–Vatican relations and global Catholic leadership.
Index Launch: Countries With The Most Effective Anti-Smoking Policies
The “Effective Anti-smoking Policies” Index analyses public policies aimed to eradicate smoking, in 59 countries
The Helm Review: Flop26
Mace hears from economist and climate expert Professor Dieter Helm on his assessment of Cop26
The Ambassador: Markus Leitner
The Swiss Ambassador on how regular referenda and a devolved government embeds Switzerland’s politics with accountability and rooted decisionmaking
Magic mountain
Why reports of the death of Davos Man are exaggerated
A strategy for nations’ best interests
True strategic autonomy will do much to strengthen the global economy for the EU and its allies
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